Calls
Endorsements and toss-ups
A clear endorsement names a fictional candidate when the record and the odds both support it. A toss-up is the honest call when they do not. Every card has a reason. Where editors depart from the formula, the card says so.
1 endorsements · 3 toss-ups · filtered to NY
Toss-upPlaceholder
New York · Governor
2026 gubernatorial election
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Lila Hartman.
Placeholder call for New York, Governor. The issue in this office is “Emergency orders that criminalize peaceful trade and assembly.” Editors mark a toss-up because Lila Hartman has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Lila Hartman and Yves Rask are fictional.
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Toss-upPlaceholder
New York · Legislature
2026 legislative elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Leading score: Zora Tatum.
Placeholder call for New York, Legislature. The issue in this office is “Warrantless long-term location tracking.” Editors mark a toss-up because the score gap between Zora Tatum and Peter Alm sits inside the toss-up threshold. The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Zora Tatum and Peter Alm are fictional.
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Toss-upPlaceholder
New York · Judiciary
2026 judicial elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Wes Ives.
Placeholder call for New York, Judiciary. The issue in this office is “Forfeiture of property without a criminal conviction.” Editors mark a toss-up because Wes Ives has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Wes Ives and Beth Lombard are fictional.
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EndorsementPlaceholder
New York · Attorney general
2026 attorney general election
Endorse Paula Serrano
Formula: Endorse Paula Serrano
Placeholder call for New York, Attorney general. The issue in this office is “Criminal penalties for peaceful home enterprise.” Paula Serrano leads Alan Pryor after winnability weighting, with a winnability of 4 out of 5, and the gap clears the toss-up rule. The editorial call matches the formula. Paula Serrano is not a real candidate.
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