Calls
Endorsements and toss-ups
A clear endorsement names a fictional candidate when the record and the odds both support it. A toss-up is the honest call when they do not. Every card has a reason. Where editors depart from the formula, the card says so.
1 endorsements · 3 toss-ups · filtered to MI
EndorsementPlaceholder
Michigan · Attorney general
2026 attorney general election
Endorse Paula Serrano
Formula: Endorse Paula Serrano
Placeholder call for Michigan, Attorney general. The issue in this office is “Felony penalties for peaceable firearm possession.” Paula Serrano leads Alan Pryor after winnability weighting, with a winnability of 4 out of 5, and the gap clears the toss-up rule. The editorial call matches the formula. Paula Serrano is not a real candidate.
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Toss-upPlaceholder
Michigan · Legislature
2026 legislative elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Peter Alm.
Placeholder call for Michigan, Legislature. The issue in this office is “Forfeiture of property without a criminal conviction.” Editors mark a toss-up because Peter Alm has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Peter Alm and Zora Tatum are fictional.
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Toss-upPlaceholder
Michigan · Judiciary
2026 judicial elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Leading score: Beth Lombard.
Placeholder call for Michigan, Judiciary. The issue in this office is “Licensing barriers to harmless work.” Editors mark a toss-up because the score gap between Beth Lombard and Wes Ives sits inside the toss-up threshold. The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Beth Lombard and Wes Ives are fictional.
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Toss-upPlaceholder
Michigan · Governor
2026 gubernatorial election
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The leading score is too small to call. Leading score: Yves Rask.
Placeholder call for Michigan, Governor. The issue in this office is “Criminal penalties for peaceful home enterprise.” Editors mark a toss-up because the leading score is too small to carry a name. The leading score is too small to call. Yves Rask and Lila Hartman are fictional.
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