Florida · Governor
2026 gubernatorial election
Endorse Greta Solano
Formula: Endorse Greta Solano
Solano is favored and would end the order. Palmer would not. Clear call. Fictional.
Since the method, not the mood
Strategic Liberty CoalitionPlaceholder data. Every candidate on this site is fictional. Scores demonstrate the method. They are not live election advice.
Calls
A clear endorsement names a fictional candidate when the record and the odds both support it. A toss-up is the honest call when they do not. Every card has a reason. Where editors depart from the formula, the card says so.
3 endorsements · 1 toss-ups · filtered to FL
2026 gubernatorial election
Endorse Greta Solano
Formula: Endorse Greta Solano
Solano is favored and would end the order. Palmer would not. Clear call. Fictional.
2026 judicial elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Leading score: Tessa Blum.
Blum and Ng present the same record at the same odds. Toss-up. The warrant issue does not get a nominee it has not earned. Fictional.
2026 legislative elections
Endorse Lydia Crowe
Formula: Endorse Lydia Crowe
Both slates are better than an enforcement slate, and they are not the same. Crowe would require a conviction. Benton would only narrow the practice. The gap clears the toss-up rule at equal winnability. Editors endorse Crowe and publish Benton's lean so nobody thinks the other slate is the enemy. Fictional.
2026 attorney general election
Endorse Mina Kapoor
Formula: Endorse Mina Kapoor
Kapoor's winnability is a 2, which is the minimum the formula will endorse. Drewe is more likely to win and would keep defending convictionless forfeiture. Editors endorse Kapoor because the alternative is an active defense of the penalty, and they tell the reader this is an outside chance. Below a 2 they would have called a toss-up instead. She is fictional.