A clear endorsement names a fictional candidate when the record and the odds both support it. A toss-up is the honest call when they do not. Every card has a reason. Where editors depart from the formula, the card says so.
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Oregon · Attorney general
2026 attorney general election
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Leading score: Peter Alm.
Placeholder call for Oregon, Attorney general. The issue in this office is “Warrantless long-term location tracking.” Editors mark a toss-up because the score gap between Peter Alm and Beth Lombard sits inside the toss-up threshold. The lead sits inside the toss-up gap. Peter Alm and Beth Lombard are fictional.
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Oregon · Legislature
2026 legislative elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Alan Pryor.
Placeholder call for Oregon, Legislature. The issue in this office is “Emergency orders that criminalize peaceful trade and assembly.” Editors mark a toss-up because Alan Pryor has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Alan Pryor and Lila Hartman are fictional.
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Oregon · Governor
2026 gubernatorial election
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Zora Tatum.
Placeholder call for Oregon, Governor. The issue in this office is “Jail for regulatory offenses that require no criminal intent.” Editors mark a toss-up because Zora Tatum has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Zora Tatum and Evan Brooks are fictional.
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Oregon · Judiciary
2026 judicial elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Carl Ebner.
Placeholder call for Oregon, Judiciary. The issue in this office is “Criminal penalties for peaceful home enterprise.” Editors mark a toss-up because Carl Ebner has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Carl Ebner and Paula Serrano are fictional.
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