Calls
Endorsements and toss-ups
A clear endorsement names a fictional candidate when the record and the odds both support it. A toss-up is the honest call when they do not. Every card has a reason. Where editors depart from the formula, the card says so.
3 endorsements · 1 toss-ups · filtered to IA
EndorsementPlaceholder
Iowa · Attorney general
2026 attorney general election
Endorse Thea York
Formula: Endorse Thea York
Placeholder call for Iowa, Attorney general. The issue in this office is “Jail for regulatory offenses that require no criminal intent.” Thea York leads Ned Okoye after winnability weighting, with a winnability of 4 out of 5, and the gap clears the toss-up rule. The editorial call matches the formula. Thea York is not a real candidate.
Open the Iowa scorecard
EndorsementPlaceholder
Iowa · Governor
2026 gubernatorial election
Endorse Rosa Becket
Formula: Endorse Rosa Becket
Placeholder call for Iowa, Governor. The issue in this office is “Licensing barriers to harmless work.” Rosa Becket leads Kurt Pellham after winnability weighting, with a winnability of 4 out of 5, and the gap clears the toss-up rule. The editorial call matches the formula. Rosa Becket is not a real candidate.
Open the Iowa scorecard
Toss-upPlaceholder
Iowa · Judiciary
2026 judicial elections
No candidate endorsed
Formula: Toss-up — The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Leading score: Uma Wynn.
Placeholder call for Iowa, Judiciary. The issue in this office is “Emergency orders that criminalize peaceful trade and assembly.” Editors mark a toss-up because Uma Wynn has the better liberty alignment, and a winnability of 1, which is below the floor the coalition will endorse. The better-aligned candidate is below the winnability floor. Uma Wynn and Olive Brant are fictional.
Open the Iowa scorecard
EndorsementPlaceholder
Iowa · Legislature
2026 legislative elections
Endorse Saul Nesser
Formula: Endorse Saul Nesser
Placeholder call for Iowa, Legislature. The issue in this office is “Qualified immunity when officials injure nonviolent people.” Saul Nesser leads Leah Vossman after winnability weighting, with a winnability of 4 out of 5, and the gap clears the toss-up rule. The editorial call matches the formula. Saul Nesser is not a real candidate.
Open the Iowa scorecard